Colección: Artículos
Número de control: MAP20071505348
Autor: Kennedy, Christopher A. ![]()
Título: Interpretation of Monte Carlo Simulations using space plots / Christopher A. Kennedy
Notas: Multimodal distribution functions that result froM Monte Carlo simulations can be interpreted by superimposing joint probability deNsity functions onto the countor space of the simulated calculations . The method is demostrated by analysis of the pathway of a radioactive ground water contaminant using an analytical solution to the transport equation . Simulated concentration at a fixed time and distance produce multimodal histograms , which are understood with reference to the parameter space for the two random variables - velocity and dispersity. Numerical integration under the joint density function up to the cotour of the analytical solution gives the probability of contaminant exceeding a target concentration . This technique is potentially more efficient than Monte Caro simulation for low probability events . Nevertheless, analyzing the two most pertinent random variables in a simulation might still offer insights into the multimodal nature of output histograms
Registros relacionados: En: Risk analysis : an international journal. - New York and London. - nº 2, April 2004 ; p. 437-442
Materia / geográfico: Análisis de riesgos ![]()
Modelos probabílisticos ![]()
Casos prácticos ![]()
Simulación Monte Carlo ![]()
Títulos secundarios: Título: Risk analysis : an international journal
Otras clasificaciones: 935